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GLACIER BANCORP, INC. (GBCI)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 EPS was $0.48, up 66% YoY and down 11% QoQ; EPS beat S&P consensus of $0.464 by ~$0.02 as NIM expanded for a fifth straight quarter to 3.04% on higher loan yields and lower funding costs . EPS estimate: $0.464*; actual: $0.4843*.
- Revenue definition diverges: company “Total income” was $222.6M (+13.3% YoY; flat QoQ) while S&P “Revenue” actual was $212.7M vs $227.1M consensus, implying a revenue miss on the S&P basis despite solid company-reported income . Revenue estimates/actuals: $227.14M* est vs $212.73M* actual.
- Credit remained benign overall; NPAs rose to 0.14% of assets (from 0.10% in Q4) due to one C&I relationship (management issue, well-secured, no loss expected) .
- 2025 setup: management reaffirmed full‑year NIM guide of ~3.20–3.25% and targets a ~3.40% exit (potentially ~3.45% including Bank of Idaho), with margin lift driven by loan repricing, securities runoff, and FHLB paydowns—not Fed dependent . Operating expense guide maintained at $151–$154M per quarter ex‑M&A, with BOID adding ~$6M in Q2 and $9–$10M in Q3–Q4 .
- Key catalysts: continued margin expansion, expense discipline, and BOID integration (regulatory approvals obtained Apr 9; closed May 1) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Margin expansion continued for the fifth consecutive quarter; NIM (TE) rose 7 bps QoQ to 3.04% on higher loan yields and lower funding costs; core deposit cost fell to 1.25% and total cost of funding to 1.68% .
- Management expects margin trajectory to improve through 2025 on loan repricing, accelerated securities runoff, and FHLB paydowns; “our margin trajectory is not Fed dependent” (Byron Pollan) .
- Non‑interest income grew 9% YoY to $32.6M; gain on mortgage sales improved; other income benefited from bank‑owned life insurance and equity gains .
What Went Wrong
- On S&P’s revenue basis, the company missed consensus as S&P “Revenue” actual was below estimates, even as company “Total income” was stable QoQ; expense rose QoQ due to higher compensation . Revenue est/actual: $227.14M* vs $212.73M*; Total income: $222.6M .
- NPAs increased to 0.14% (from 0.10% QoQ) primarily due to a single C&I relationship; early‑stage delinquencies rose QoQ to 0.27% of loans (still below prior‑year) .
- Net interest income dipped 1% QoQ on fewer days and lower average interest‑bearing cash balances; non‑interest expense increased 7% QoQ (performance‑related comp; integration costs) .
Financial Results
Earnings and Revenue vs Prior Periods and Estimates
Note: Company “Total income” = Net interest income + Non‑interest income (company definition); S&P “Revenue” is S&P’s banking revenue construct and differs from company presentation.
Key KPIs
Loan Mix (Period‑End, Loans Receivable)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “All of the structural drivers … will drive margin expansion regardless of Fed activity.” — Byron Pollan, Treasurer .
- “Bank of Idaho … could see … contributing 4 basis points of margin lift to the entire organization.” — Byron Pollan .
- “Core noninterest expense guide for 2025 is $151–$154 million per quarter… add ~$6 million in Q2 and $9–$10 million in Q3 and Q4 for Bank of Idaho.” — Ron Copher, CFO .
- “The uptick in nonaccruals … was centered in one [C&I] relationship… well secured… no loss expected and we should be out of the deal by the end of the year.” — Tom Dolan, Chief Credit Administrator .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin outlook and drivers: management reiterated structural, non‑Fed‑dependent tailwinds (loan repricing, securities runoff, FHLB paydowns), with BOID adding ~4 bps to NIM; exit ~3.40–3.45% discussed .
- Expense trajectory: 2025 core guide maintained; BOID adds ~$6M in Q2 and ~$9–$10M in Q3–Q4; Q1 core came in ~$2M below high end due to slower hiring and lower consulting spend .
- Credit update: single C&I drove nonaccrual increase; well secured; no losses expected; normalization otherwise benign .
- Balance sheet and funding: securities cash flows to pay down FHLB ($300M Q2, $360M Q3, $420M Q4); aim for stable organic balance sheet ex‑M&A .
- Macro and tariffs: potential Canadian lumber tariff impact viewed as manageable by customer base; contingency in construction budgets noted .
Estimates Context
- EPS: Q1 2025 EPS was $0.48 vs S&P consensus $0.464 (beat ~$0.02); Q4 2024 $0.55 vs $0.518 (beat); Q1 2024 $0.34 vs $0.336 (in line) (EPS actuals from S&P data closely align to company‑reported) . EPS est/actual: 0.464*/0.4843* (Q1’25); 0.5183*/0.55* (Q4’24); 0.3357*/0.34*.
- Revenue: On S&P’s basis, Q1 2025 revenue was $212.7M vs $227.1M consensus (miss), while company‑reported “Total income” was $222.6M; S&P’s bank revenue construct can differ from company “Total income” . Revenue est/actual: 227.14M*/212.73M* (Q1’25); 224.99M*/214.35M* (Q4’24); 202.67M*/185.95M* (Q1’24).
- Implications: Given reaffirmed margin guide, lower funding costs, and BOID contribution, forward NIM/Net interest income estimates may drift higher; short‑term S&P revenue variance reflects taxonomy differences and modest QoQ dip in net interest income (days effect) .
Values with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin expansion continues with structural tailwinds; management reaffirmed ~3.20–3.25% FY NIM and targets ~3.40% exit (≈3.45% incl. BOID), independent of Fed policy .
- Funding costs are trending lower (core 1.25%; spot deposit 1.24% at 3/31); FHLB paydowns scheduled across 2025 should further support NIM .
- Credit remains solid despite higher NPAs, attributable to a single well‑secured C&I credit; ACL rose to 1.22% of loans; net charge‑offs remained very low .
- Expense discipline intact (core guide maintained); near‑term expense uptick from BOID is quantified, improving visibility for modeling .
- Loan growth outlook (low‑to‑mid single digits) remains intact; Q1 softness driven by elevated payoffs should abate as construction draws pick up seasonally .
- S&P revenue miss vs consensus should be viewed in context of definitional differences and stable company “Total income”; EPS beat underscores earnings durability .
- Catalysts ahead: integration of BOID (closed May 1), securities runoff and FHLB paydowns, and continued deposit cost relief—each supportive of further NIM/earnings progression .
All company-reported figures and quotes are sourced to GBCI’s Q1 2025 8‑K/press release and earnings call transcripts.